Djibouti+Petroleum

=Chinese Investments In Djibouti Petroleum Are Unlikely For The Next Five Years=

Executive Summary:
While talks are under way for a USD 600 million oil refinery at the end of a planned South Sudan pipeline, Chinese investments in Djibouti petroleum are unlikely for the next five years. The Djibouti government continually attempts to garner exploration projects for oil in their country, but so far no discoveries occurred. China is likely going to pursue the oil refinery project since it is already involved in the South Sudan pipeline, but beyond that project there are no other incentives for China to invest in Djibouti petroleum unless reserves are discovered. ======

**Analytic Confidence: **
Analytic confidence for this assessment is high. Source reliability ranges from medium to high. There is no conflict between sources. The analyst had low expertise, worked alone but collaborated with a team, and did not use structured analytic methods. The subject is moderately complex and the deadline was moderately difficult to meet.


 * Analyst**: David Bott